Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.001689 0.001801 0.001916 0.002044 0.002183 0.002329 0.002495
2025-01-12 0.001495 0.001648 0.001813 0.002004 0.002221 0.002460 0.002743
2025-01-19 0.001371 0.001550 0.001749 0.001987 0.002267 0.002586 0.002979
2025-01-26 0.001240 0.001429 0.001645 0.001910 0.002229 0.002604 0.003081
2025-02-02 0.001202 0.001411 0.001654 0.001961 0.002340 0.002797 0.003397
2025-02-09 0.001162 0.001386 0.001652 0.001994 0.002427 0.002963 0.003684
2025-02-16 0.001152 0.001396 0.001690 0.002077 0.002578 0.003212 0.004092
2025-02-23 0.001106 0.001357 0.001665 0.002076 0.002620 0.003323 0.004320
2025-03-02 0.001038 0.001287 0.001596 0.002015 0.002578 0.003319 0.004391
2025-03-09 0.000985 0.001233 0.001546 0.001975 0.002560 0.003344 0.004500
2025-03-16 0.000952 0.001203 0.001524 0.001971 0.002590 0.003434 0.004703
2025-03-23 0.000913 0.001164 0.001489 0.001948 0.002591 0.003482 0.004847
2025-03-30 0.000874 0.001127 0.001458 0.001933 0.002610 0.003567 0.005068
2025-04-06 0.000830 0.001081 0.001413 0.001896 0.002598 0.003607 0.005224
2025-04-13 0.000797 0.001047 0.001384 0.001881 0.002614 0.003689 0.005449
2025-04-20 0.000746 0.000989 0.001318 0.001809 0.002542 0.003633 0.005453
2025-04-27 0.000739 0.000990 0.001334 0.001856 0.002651 0.003858 0.005922
2025-05-04 0.000727 0.000983 0.001339 0.001887 0.002735 0.004050 0.006350
2025-05-11 0.000729 0.000997 0.001375 0.001965 0.002895 0.004370 0.007021
2025-05-18 0.000709 0.000977 0.001360 0.001964 0.002932 0.004492 0.007355
2025-05-25 0.000674 0.000935 0.001310 0.001907 0.002874 0.004453 0.007398
2025-06-01 0.000647 0.000902 0.001273 0.001870 0.002846 0.004462 0.007527
2025-06-08 0.000630 0.000885 0.001258 0.001866 0.002873 0.004566 0.007840